Monday, June 10, 2013

Lions Tour Rugby Union 2013

The British and Irish Lions will be taking on Australia in a three Test Series in what promises to be a momentous battle Down Under. The Lions have actually taken on some supremacy for winning the series outright after Warren Gatland assembled a very promising looking squad for the tough tour. So while the British and Irish Lions look to have a very good and realistic chance of coming away with a famous win, who are going to the be the ones to step out in the starting fifteen to take on the Wallabies in the first of the three Tests? This is a great rugby betting angle to take a look at. Gatland as a 37 man squad to choose from.

The Lions have taken fifteen victories from their last 20 Test matches against Australia since back in 1899, so they are in pretty good shape. The initial squad of 37 named by Gatland included 15 Welsh players, 10 from England, nine Irish representatives and three Scottish players. Naturally there will be a bit of shuffling in the numbers as injuries start to mount up and replacements drafted in. Wales’ Sam Warburton was handed the role of captaining the squad and so, as long as he is fit, will naturally be one name going down on the team sheet for the opening Test match against Australia. So that’s one concrete Welshman in the Test side.

There is a clear divide in the betting markets for the country with the most starters in the first Test. Wales are more likely than not to have the lion’s share of the Lion’s places, trading as overwhelming favourites. But how many Welsh players will get to start the 1st Test? The confidence of the Welsh is high after winning the Six Nations earlier in the year. Under 7.5 Welsh players to get the start is trading at odds of 10/11, while Over 7/5 is being offered at odds of 4/5. It is in the back line that the Welsh are most likely to dominate, with a clutch of players like Jamie Roberts, Jonathan Davies and Alex Cuthbert and George North pushing for starting places on the wing. Leigh Halfpenny may be hard to leave out as full back as well, after top scoring in the Six Nations.

England have some good options to fill spots in the starting line up but may struggle to take precedence over the Welsh and Irish players. England are trading at Under 3.5 players to start the first Test against Australia at a price of 4/9, while going over that mark was being offered at Evens. The Welsh are likely to fill most of the positions in the initial Test side, but Ireland have a very realistic chance of posting more starting players than perhaps the English do, and Irish players Under 3.5 is trading at odds of Evens, with over that mark being offered at around 8/3. With Scotland taking so few players, they are at odds of 6/4 to have over 0.5 players starting the first Test.

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