Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Women's Tennis French Open 2013

The mix of competitors for the Women’s French Open title at Roland Garros this year is looking to be a lot deeper than what the men’s draw does. That is because, while the men’s draw has Rafael Nadal, the women’s draw has a host of genuine talents that can step up and take the title. So that makes for something of a realistic betting fest for some great value in the women’s draw. There is of course, as with any betting, a favourite and that title will fall on the shoulders of Serena Williams. There is no doubt that she has the combined power and pace, and she does translate well onto clay. But the American powerhouse has only won at Roland Garros once in her career, so that may make punters hesitate over backing her heavily. She is one of the top players on the Tour, there is little argument about that, but clay is such a great leveller.

The French Open is the most wide open of the four Grand Slams on the women’s calendar. There have been six different winners in the last six seasons at the event. So what will that mean for Maria Sharapova? The Russian had an immense season on clay last season, losing just one match on the clay swing, and she powered her way to the French Open title for the first time. Sharapova again has started well on clay in 2013 and the way she grinds out defence from the baseline, will put her in good stead. She has a tremendous first serve, but she is just developing a solid back up to that, whereas before she was vulnerable on her second serve. The Russian has the highest win percentage on clay of all active players and at 7/2 value makes a great option.

Behind those two, Victoria Azarenka is floating around at around the same mark as Sharapova. Azarenka had a perfect year, in so much as going without defeat until she hit Madrid as was ousted by Ekaterina Makarova. That was an upset, but it was after a long rest for the Belarusian. Azarenka has been bothered with niggling injuries this season, but she did defend her Australian Open title at the start of the year and her heavy hitting should take her far. She has the mobility and the reach to defend well on clay, but she looks as if she just needs more games under her belt in the Roland Garros build up on clay to be a big threat. It is just a matter of getting her match sharpness back, but has the ability and temperament to go deep.

You then have to look at some clay court specialists behind those. China’s Na Li won the title back in 2011 and the very best of her often comes out on clay. She is just a tenacious flat hitter and she was in top form over the early stages of the season. She has been good this season, bombed in the first round of Madrid though but that could inject her with a little more fire. She rises up to the challenge of the big events well and should make one of the best dark horses. There are other dark horses in the field, notably Samantha Stosur and Sara Errani. Both come alive more when they are on clay, especially Errani. The Italian is one of the best at control and variety on clay and the big guns won’t want to see her in their quarter of the draw.

Also falling into the form as outsiders for the French Open will be Germany’s number one Angelique Kerber and Serbia’s Ana Ivanovic. Kerber is just starting to come alive at the right time of the season to gun for her first Grand Slam title. A powerhouse, and full of focus. Such a tricky opponent and seeing her in the quarter finals should be a certainty. More of an outside bet is Ana Ivanovic. The Former Wimbledon champion still has the potential and shows flashes of great class and resilience. Struggles against big power, but always worth tracking for match betting and an underdog shot against top ten opponents.

Monday, May 13, 2013

Mens Tennis French Open 2013

With both Roger Federer, Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic unable to make a heavy impact on the recent ATP Madrid Open on clay, the path looks clear for defending champion Rafael Nadal to power his way to yet another French Open title at Roland Garros in 2013. It has pretty much been the Spaniard’s tournament since 2005 when he won it for the first time. He has won the event at Roland Garros for a record seven times already, only being interrupted once since his maiden win, when Roger Federer went all the way to the title in 2009. It is clay and it is Rafael Nadal, the rest are going to be playing catch up to him. The bookmakers have installed him as strong 5/6 favourite to take an unprecedented 8th title in the Mens French Open Betting.

In last year’s final, Rafael Nadal beat Novak Djokovic, the Serbian showing some resistance in the third set, but ultimately the Spaniard won through. Nadal has a tremendous 52-1 match record at the tournament and that will count for a lot when he steps out on to what has become one of his spiritual homes in tennis. When he won the rain-delayed final last season, the culmination of the match being played on Monday, he broke the tie with Bjorn Borg for the most trophies won at the same tournament. His return to the game after his layoff through injury after Wimbledon last season, has been immense. Not perfect, not even on clay, but the more matches he gets under his belt on his path to Roland Garros, the stronger he will be.

Novak Djokovic, who has a 31-8 match record at the event, his best run coming as losing finalist last season, will likely be Nadal’s closest challenger. Djokovic himself doesn’t have a bad record on clay, taking eight ATP titles before. Djokovic has the adaptability and he beat Nadal in the final of the 2012 ATP World Tour Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo, which was on clay. It was a straight sets victory too, in which the Spaniard never really got going, and Djokovic was there to punish him. So the success of Nadal, with seven French Open titles in the last eight, is not only down to him, but because of the lack of genuine threat from the other big four. If Djokovic, trading as strong second favourite at a price of 6/5, slips early on the clay surface in the title, as he did in Madrid, then the path should be clear and easy for Nadal.

What accentuates the chances of Nadal at the French Open, is that Britain’s Number One Andy Murray is not a proven force on the surface. That can be summed up in the fact that he is at longer odds than Federer is. There is more unpredictability about Murray perhaps, than any of the other big four on clay. Roger Federer still has a chance on the dirt because it is more forgiving and he can play at a slower pace than the hard courts. Federer, at a price of 11/1 to win at Roland Garros again, has earned twelve titles on clay during his career, and while the Swiss superstar does seem to be a fading force, he will thrive in the atmosphere. He has only won one French Open before, but could make a semi final appearance as in five of the last six Grand Slams since the 2011 US Open, Federer has reached at least the semi final stage.

Sunday, May 12, 2013

Darts Premier League Final Stages

The final four have been settled after fourteen gruelling weeks touring the UK for the 2013 Premier League Darts. The draw for the final night as well has been settled, taking the positions of first playing fourth and second playing third. That means Michael van Gerwen v James Wade and Raymond van Barneveld v Phil Taylor. It is the Netherlands v England in both of the semi final matches which are the best of 15 legs. This season of Premier League darts betting has been made all the more interesting because of the vulnerabilities of Phil Taylor. He has long been the expert in this format, winning six of the previous nine titles. It is The Power who is the reigning champion as well after beating Simon Whitlock in last year’s final. However, he is not the favourite this time around.

Phil The Power Taylor, who has gone entire regular seasons of the Premier League unbeaten, was toppled four times in his sixteen matches this season. He was well below his usual mark of landing 180’s during the tournament, but somehow he still managed to compensate for that by finishing with the highest three dart average above everyone else. Taylor takes on his old rival Raymond van Barneveld in the semi final on finals night, and during the season, Taylor beat the Dutchman 7-3 before they settled for a tie in their second meeting. Taylor generally has the upper hand over Barneveld and could be worth backing again. Taylor does usually turn up when it matters most and that is why he is trading at 11/4 second favourite to take the Premier League title for the seventh time.

But Barneveld was more consistent than he has been in recent seasons, powering his way to ten wins from his sixteen league matches, losing just three. He fired off 23 more maximums than Taylor did as well this season. Barneveld was one of the best players over the course of the season, but as he found out at the 2013 World Championships, Taylor still has the beating of him. But Barneveld does seem to have had the bit between his teeth this season in looking for his first ever Premier League title, and the Dutchman could have value at 11/2. Going up against Taylor will be the heavyweight clash of the semi finals and the winner will be heading into a final showdown against Michael van Gerwen or James Wade. A repeat of the 2013 World Championship final between Van Gerwen and Taylor is certainly on the cards as they go as favourites to win outright.

It is Michael van Gerwen, the hot new ticket on the darts scene that is taking all favouritism here. This is his debut season in the Premier League and it has been an impressive one. Like Barneveld, he lost only three matches all season, but took top spot in the league standings with eleven wins from his sixteen matches. He just has the quick, heavy scoring touch which has seen him translate to this format so well. Van Gerwen drew once and beat Taylor heavily during the regular season, and he produced two wins over his fellow countryman Barneveld during the season. That is why he is trading as favourite, and why it leaves James Wade, a former Premier League winner, as the rank outsider. Wade was very strong over the first half of the season, but only picked up two wins from his last seven matches, squeezing into the playoffs.