Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Women's Tennis French Open 2013

The mix of competitors for the Women’s French Open title at Roland Garros this year is looking to be a lot deeper than what the men’s draw does. That is because, while the men’s draw has Rafael Nadal, the women’s draw has a host of genuine talents that can step up and take the title. So that makes for something of a realistic betting fest for some great value in the women’s draw. There is of course, as with any betting, a favourite and that title will fall on the shoulders of Serena Williams. There is no doubt that she has the combined power and pace, and she does translate well onto clay. But the American powerhouse has only won at Roland Garros once in her career, so that may make punters hesitate over backing her heavily. She is one of the top players on the Tour, there is little argument about that, but clay is such a great leveller.

The French Open is the most wide open of the four Grand Slams on the women’s calendar. There have been six different winners in the last six seasons at the event. So what will that mean for Maria Sharapova? The Russian had an immense season on clay last season, losing just one match on the clay swing, and she powered her way to the French Open title for the first time. Sharapova again has started well on clay in 2013 and the way she grinds out defence from the baseline, will put her in good stead. She has a tremendous first serve, but she is just developing a solid back up to that, whereas before she was vulnerable on her second serve. The Russian has the highest win percentage on clay of all active players and at 7/2 value makes a great option.

Behind those two, Victoria Azarenka is floating around at around the same mark as Sharapova. Azarenka had a perfect year, in so much as going without defeat until she hit Madrid as was ousted by Ekaterina Makarova. That was an upset, but it was after a long rest for the Belarusian. Azarenka has been bothered with niggling injuries this season, but she did defend her Australian Open title at the start of the year and her heavy hitting should take her far. She has the mobility and the reach to defend well on clay, but she looks as if she just needs more games under her belt in the Roland Garros build up on clay to be a big threat. It is just a matter of getting her match sharpness back, but has the ability and temperament to go deep.

You then have to look at some clay court specialists behind those. China’s Na Li won the title back in 2011 and the very best of her often comes out on clay. She is just a tenacious flat hitter and she was in top form over the early stages of the season. She has been good this season, bombed in the first round of Madrid though but that could inject her with a little more fire. She rises up to the challenge of the big events well and should make one of the best dark horses. There are other dark horses in the field, notably Samantha Stosur and Sara Errani. Both come alive more when they are on clay, especially Errani. The Italian is one of the best at control and variety on clay and the big guns won’t want to see her in their quarter of the draw.

Also falling into the form as outsiders for the French Open will be Germany’s number one Angelique Kerber and Serbia’s Ana Ivanovic. Kerber is just starting to come alive at the right time of the season to gun for her first Grand Slam title. A powerhouse, and full of focus. Such a tricky opponent and seeing her in the quarter finals should be a certainty. More of an outside bet is Ana Ivanovic. The Former Wimbledon champion still has the potential and shows flashes of great class and resilience. Struggles against big power, but always worth tracking for match betting and an underdog shot against top ten opponents.

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